USA TODAY Sports
Despite losing Games 5 and six by 15 and 14 points respectively and allowing the Cleveland Cavaliers to become just the third team in NBA Finals history to force a Game 7 after trailing the series 3-1, there's still explanation for hope and still reason to bet the Warriors.
Of course the most obvious is known, no team had ever get back from a 3-1 deficit to win the NBA Finals, but there's more.
It may be very rare for home teams to lose Game 7's within the NBA Playoffs.
Dating back to 1991-92 (way back to Covers records go), home teams are 54-14 (79.4 percent) in Game 7's throughout the NBA playoffs and more importantly for bettors, home teams are 41-26-1 against the spread in those games. That's a 61.2 percent success rate.
Taking this year's Game 7 line into account, currently at Warriors -5, home teams of -4.5 or greater are a profitable 31-18-1 ATS in that scenario. Good for successful rate of 63.3 percent.
When it involves totals in Game 7's, the Under was the marginally better bet going 37-30-1, cashing 55.2 percent of the time. However, when the overall is above 200, love it is in Sunday night's Game 7 (currently 207), the Over is 10-5 (66.7 percent).
So, while things haven't looked good for the soldiers the last two games, betting history remains to be on their side.
Read More... [Source: Covers.com: NBA News and Stories]
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